Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 156.586656 183.596695 215.943590 258.162848 312.773242 3.824312e+02 480.412947
2025-02-16 121.325306 153.638831 196.988984 261.646424 359.982399 5.123235e+02 786.436278
2025-02-23 102.523852 136.229015 184.872761 264.353091 400.499715 6.470677e+02 1201.980356
2025-03-02 90.709513 125.046852 177.512015 269.857223 445.137321 8.122667e+02 1856.766480
2025-03-09 81.587285 115.787729 170.495025 272.941949 485.647242 9.962840e+02 2859.297073
2025-03-16 72.764137 105.434905 159.461241 265.417096 501.268855 1.134993e+03 4050.990123
2025-03-23 68.605361 101.867717 159.091774 277.839961 566.634162 1.470934e+03 7473.026634
2025-03-30 61.988799 93.295678 148.360048 266.379126 568.859992 1.611981e+03 10693.504872
2025-04-06 58.132826 88.962168 144.698577 269.150887 610.738827 1.956866e+03 20299.582131
2025-04-13 54.356069 84.319939 139.730899 267.778298 640.707627 2.302865e+03 40548.636106
2025-04-20 52.738753 83.338149 141.711607 283.267985 732.723029 3.164502e+03 195973.673615
2025-04-27 52.397473 84.627227 148.439849 312.633022 895.437424 5.073571e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 48.788548 79.703891 142.128769 307.984041 934.961459 6.306773e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 46.181070 76.501518 139.220492 312.675136 1024.177688 8.907713e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 43.791728 73.454956 136.168884 316.147959 1114.640936 1.284006e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 41.873279 71.138404 134.417414 323.211645 1235.810489 2.043277e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 39.970883 68.655382 131.899632 327.176719 1348.609550 3.326940e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 37.557849 64.895503 125.814233 317.512378 1366.355714 4.403064e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 36.608607 64.116650 126.924629 333.481887 1593.364039 1.168733e+05 NaN
2025-06-22 34.352742 60.363688 120.107428 318.746417 1564.553353 1.502791e+05 NaN
2025-06-29 33.079652 58.630274 118.243664 322.304372 1703.350026 4.234214e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 31.692104 56.537673 115.198979 320.541994 1796.932319 1.442831e+06 NaN
2025-07-13 31.223213 56.422664 117.344109 340.482588 2164.614282 NaN NaN